Labour overtakes Nigel Farage’s party in Westminster opinion survey for the first time in nearly a year and a half
Labour has overtaken Reform in a Westminster poll for the first time in more than a year.
Andy Burnham’s party polled at 28%, up four points in a week and four points ahead of Reform UK.
An estimate from Electoral Calculus’s seat projection tool said this result, if repeated at a general election, would leave Labour the largest party but about 25 seats short of an outright majority in the Commons.
The poll of 2,061 UK voters, from July 24-27, is the first from a major firm to put Labour ahead of Reform since April 2025, when YouGov gave Labour a one-point lead.
A More in Common poll conducted around the same time found a Labour-Reform tie.
